Initiative for the Study of Emerging Threats (ISET)

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Initiative for the Study of Emerging Threats (ISET)

Amidst evolving technology, declining democratic norms, aggression by state and non-state actors, and severe climate and health crises, the world faces complex security challenges. The Initiative for the Study of Emerging Threats (ISET) brings together faculty members, students, partners and stakeholders to consider and prepare for challenges lurking on the horizon.

What We Do

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ISET designs rigorous curriculum and hands-on learning experiences for CGA’s two Masters degree programs, engages in peer-reviewed research and timely commentary, and holds roundtables and other public events.

Key themes for ISET work: The changing conduct of war ● Disinformation and malign influence ● Democratic backsliding ● Trends and technologies in violent extremism ● Radicalization, disengagement, and reintegration of terrorists and foreign fighters ● Cyber-conflict and cybercrime ● Transnational crime ● Corruption's impact on aid, development, and governance ● Energy, climate change, and resource scarcity ● Respect for human rights and privacy in security responses and new technologies.

Journal Articles and Policy Reports

Books

  • Oppenheimer, Michael F. & Ohnesorge, Hendrik W. (2023)
    Soft Power and the Future of US Foreign Policy. Manchester University Press.
  • Ankersen, Christopher; Sidhu, W. P. S. (eds.) (2021)
    The Future of Global Affairs. Springer International Publishing.
  • Ankersen, Christopher and W.P.S. Sidhu (eds.) (2021)
    The Future of Global Affairs: Managing Discontinuity, Disruption, and Destruction. Palgrave Macmillan.
  • Clarke, Colin. (2020)
    After the Caliphate: The Islamic State & the Future of Terrorist Diaspora. Wiley.
  • Clarke, Colin P. (2019)
    After the Caliphate: The Islamic State & the Future Terrorist Diaspora. Polity Press.
  • Jarmon, Jack A. and Pano Yannakogeorgos (2018)
    The Cyber Threat and Globalization: The Impact on US National and International Security. Rowman and Littlefield.
  • Clarke, Colin. (2015)
    Terrorism, Inc.: The Financing of Terrorism, Insurgency and Irregular Warfare. Praeger.
  • Oppenheimer, Michael F. (2015)
    Pivotal Countries, Alternate Futures: Using Scenarios to Manage American Strategy. Oxford University Press.
  • Ankersen, Christopher (2014)
    The Politics of Civil-Military Cooperation: Canada in Bosnia, Kosovo, and Afghanistan. Palgrave Macmillan.

Book Chapters

Op-Eds and Other Publications

CGA Scenarios Initiative

A group of people in a conference room having a meeting around a large table with laptops and notes.

Imagining the future in key global hot spots

The Scenarios Initiative began with a grant from the Carnegie Corporation to study the future of countries pivotal to U.S. interests. The grant led to Michael Oppenheimer’s book “Pivotal Countries, Alternate Futures”, published by Oxford University Press. The initiative now consists of a course, “The Future of International Relations”, several student scenario projects, and a report on Alternate Scenarios for the Future Terrorism Landscape in Afghanistan, done by Professor Oppenheimer and CGA students for the UN’s Counter Terrorism Executive Directorate. A strong futures orientation characterizes much of the research and course work across CGA concentrations.

Message From Leadership

Mary Beth Altier

Mary Beth Altier, MA, PhD
Director and Clinical Professor

Welcome! The world is becoming increasingly interconnected and yet, we are currently witnessing nation-states turning inward rather than outward. Yet, threats like terrorism, climate change, pandemics, cyberattacks, biological and nuclear weapons, refugee flows, and corruption require innovative solutions and international cooperation. How do we anticipate and thwart new and emerging threats in an increasingly complex global order?

The Initiative for the Study of Emerging Threats (ISET) follows the broader mission of the NYU School of Professional Studies Center for Global Affairs in seeking not just to catalog and to describe the world's challenges, but to play an active, imaginative, and positive role in creating practical solutions to them. ISET draws upon an extraordinary and inspiring faculty, the efforts of a diverse and entrepreneurial group of graduate students and alumni, and the resources of New York University, one of the most well respected and globally connected institutions of higher learning in the world.

This is a new and ambitious endeavor and inevitably a work in progress, constantly evolving, forever exploring new risks and new strategies to prevent, minimize, or resolve them. We look forward to working with you in that mission.

 

Our Team and Affiliates

Faculty
Mary Beth Altier
Mary Beth Altier

Clinical Professor, Center For Global Affairs

Christopher Ankersen
Christopher Ankersen

Clinical Professor, Center For Global Affairs

Olajumoke Ayandele
Olajumoke Ayandele

Visiting Assistant Clinical Professor, Center For Global Affairs

Chloe Demrovsky
Chloe Demrovsky

Visiting Clinical Assistant Professor, Center for Global Affairs

David Gutschmit
David Gutschmit

Adjunct Instructor, Center For Global Affairs

Thomas Hill
Thomas Hill

Clinical Professor, Center For Global Affairs

John Kane
John Kane

Clinical Associate Professor, Center For Global Affairs

Joshua Kransa
Joshua Kransa

Adjunct Associate Professor, Center for Global Affairs Director, Center for Emerging Energy Politics in the Middle East Foreign Policy Research Institute

Michael Oppenheimer
Michael Oppenheimer

Clinical Professor, Center For Global Affairs

Nicholas S. Reese
Nicholas S. Reese

Adjunct Instructor, Center for Global Affairs | Co-founder, Frontier Foundry

Daniel J. Rogers
Daniel J. Rogers

CEO, iVerify Founder | Director, The Global Disinformation Index

W.P.S. Sidhu
W.P.S. Sidhu

Clinical Professor, Center For Global Affairs

Affiliates
Andrew S. Bowen
Andrew S. Bowen

Analyst in Russian and European Affairs, Congressional Research Service

Colin P. Clarke
Colin P. Clarke

Director of Research, The Soufan Group

Ana Davila
Ana Davila

Head of Financial Crime Intelligence, Stripe

Alex Goldenberg
Alex Goldenberg

Director of Intelligence, Network Contagion Research Institute

Christian Honeywood
Christian Honeywood

Financial Intelligence Unit Director, BNY Mellon

Alex Kobray
Alex Kobray

Vice President, Intelligence, Flashpoint

Lukas Meija
Lukas Meija

Threat Context Lead, Microsoft

Michaela Millender
Michaela Millender

Researcher

Samuel Powers
Samuel Powers

Vice President, Kharon; Co-founder, Lens on Life Project